Posted: November 16, 2009 at 11:11 am | Tags: activity, Area, beginning, cent, CMA, employment, growth, Housing Market, JOB, market, Montreal, Quebec, Rate, sector, unemployment, year
After declining significantly at the beginning of the year, the Montréal census metropolitan area (CMA) housing market has been showing signs of picking up for the past few months. This increase in activity on the housing market is coinciding with an improvement in economic conditions, as several indicators are suggesting that economic growth will soon resume. In this environment, the housing market will be relatively stable in 2010, for both residential construction and resale activity.
Economic conditions have substantially improved since the beginning of the year, as the financial crisis is largely over. Governments’ expansionary monetary and fiscal policies allowed for the massive injection of capital that stabilized the financial markets and revitalized the economies.
In Quebec, the economy is showing signs of an imminent recovery, and GDP is expected to grow in 2010. Employment, which tends to start growing again with some lag behind the economic cycle, should pick up slowly during 2010. The number of jobs should fall by 1.3 per cent this year, which should drive up the unemployment rate to 9.5 per cent in the Montréal CMA. After having increased rapidly since the beginning of the year, the unemployment rate has been rising more slowly in the last few months, as employment has stabilized to a certain extent. Even if the worst of the job losses is now over, the labour market will remain anemic, with a small gain in jobs (+0.4 per cent) next year, which will limit income growth and housing demand. In 2010, the unemployment rate should reach 9.6 per cent.
During the period from September 2008 to September 2009, employment in the Montréal CMA declined by 1.1 per cent from the previous twelve months, as around 21,300 jobs were eliminated. The losses were concentrated in full-time jobs
( 1.3 per cent), as part-time jobs rose slightly (+0.1 per cent). As well, the job cuts particularly affected young people aged from 15 to 24 years ( 3.5 per cent) and also people aged from 25 to 44 years ( 1.3 per cent).
The financial sector has been the hardest hit by the job losses for the past year. In the midst of the crisis that shook the financial markets, the companies in this sector cut their workforces by more than 10 per cent in one year. In all, about 15,000 jobs were eliminated in this sector. The improvement of the situation on the financial markets now seems to have stemmed the hemorrhage of jobs in this sector.
A more significant sector in terms of number of jobs, trade–and more particularly retail trade–also registered considerable job losses in the last twelve months ( 7 per cent). In fact, more than 16,000 jobs were eliminated in this sector, but the situation should stabilize over the coming quarters, as economic conditions improve.
After having declined for four consecutive years, employment in the manufacturing sector seems to have stabilized in recent quarters but, with the strong Canadian dollar, the recovery in this sector remains uncertain. The slowdown of the Montréal housing market at the beginning of 2009 sharply affected employment in the construction sector, which had posted two years of solid growth. The massive investments in infrastructure will support employment in this sector in the Montréal area in 2010.
Posted: November 12, 2009 at 12:49 pm | Tags: activity, Area, canadian funding corporation, census, CMA, economy, Estate, fact, Housing Market, JOB, market, moishe alexander, Outlook, Residential, Rivières, slowdown, transaction
Residential real estate market to remain active in 2009 and 2010
Despite a slight slowdown, activity will remain solid on the Trois-Rivières census metropolitan area (CMA) residential real estate market in 2009 and 2010. In fact, transaction volumes will stay high on the resale market, as will housing starts, which will remain above the average levels for the last few years. The rental market, for its part, will continue to post a relatively low vacancy rate. Even though the job market will be sluggish, financing conditions, which will still be very favourable, combined with strong migration, will energize the market. Job market to stay sluggish
The economy in Trois-Rivières, like in several other areas around the province, was affected by the global economic crisis that has been prevailing for over a year now. Already, the regional economy had suffered from the surging loonie, which had severely tested manufacturing companies by undermining their competitiveness on the market. The ensuing decline in demand, as a direct result of the economic slowdown, only made things worse. Consequently, job losses have now been accumulating for four quarters in the Trois-Rivières CMA (with almost all the losses having been full-time positions), in pace with the announcements of layoffs and plant closings, which have increased. On the other hand, the area will benefit from the vitality of other sectors of the regional economy, including the non-residential
Posted: June 15, 2009 at 12:29 pm | Tags: Alexander Sales, Area, Atlantic, Barry Cohen, canada, canadian funding corp, canadian funding corporation, demand, Estate, Executive Vice, Greater, home, Luxury, market, MAX, MAX Ontario-, MAX Realtron, May, Michael Polzler, Moishe, moishe alexander, month, period, Rebound, record, sale, Toronto, year
Sales of luxury properties in the Greater Toronto Area posted their strongest performance on record in May 2009, according to RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada.
Two hundred and seventy-three high-end homes changed hands in May 2009, up six per cent from 258 reported during the same period one year earlier, and the highest number of sales over $1 million in a one-month period in the history of the Toronto Real Estate Board. The previous record was set in May of 2007 at 266 sales.
“Confidence is slowly returning to the marketplace,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, Regional Director, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “Traditional market indicators are in place – the stock market has made tremendous gains in recent months, crude values have risen significantly, and the Canadian dollar has gained almost 10 points in the past month. Combine these influences with pent-up demand and growing economic stability and you have the ingredients for solid sales in the top-end of the market.”
Further evidence of a rebound is the recent sale of a Bridle Path home priced at over $13 million, the first sale over the $10 million price point in more than a year. The 18,000 sq. ft. gated estate, situated on more than two acres, was listed by Barry Cohen, Broker, RE/MAX Realtron, and featured a spectacular backyard with a negative edge waterfall pool, fountains, hot tub, and tennis court.
Demand for homes priced in excess of $1 million has increased steadily since the beginning of the year, says Polzler, mimicking the overall real estate market. Seven hundred homes have changed hands year-to-date, compared to 944 in January to May of 2008. Given current momentum, however, it’s likely that activity will continue at a healthy pace for the remainder of the year – with sales at year-end at least on par or ahead of 2008 levels.
RE/MAX is Canada’s leading real estate organization with over 17,600 sales associates situated throughout its more than 677 independently-owned and operated offices across the country. The RE/MAX franchise network, now in its 36th year, is a global real estate system operating in more than 70 countries. Over 6,700 independently-owned offices engage nearly 100,000 member sales associates who lead the industry in professional designations, experience and production while providing real estate services in residential, commercial, referral, and asset management.
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